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Future Scenarios are based on Unicist Logical Inferences

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The unicist approach to future research uses logical inferences based on the unicist double dialectical logic that was developed based on the discovery of the unicist ontogenetic intelligence of nature that regulates its evolution.

It was a step-by-step discovery based on the apprehension of the nature of social phenomena entering afterwards in the institutional and individual evolution. Its integration with biology and physics was the final stage that was achieved.

This approach is based on the fact that future and past are not symmetric. This is the case of all the environments that are evolving or involving. The past and the future are only symmetric in stagnated environments.

The objective of the unicist approach to future research is to define a future scenario to adapt and influence it.

When an individual “looks back” at the history, the events that occurred are reasonable, understandable, and logical. Therefore, when approaching the future what is required is having the “logic” that is evident when analyzing the events of the past.

The building of future scenarios is based on the fact that the structure of the unicist ontology of a specific environment needs to be found in the past and that the facts of the present are used to infer the future.

The unicist approach to future research is based on inferring the future based on the laws of evolution established by the ontogenetic intelligence of nature, which allowed developing the unicist ontology of evolution. This allows building reliable future scenarios.

Forecasting Evolution

From an operational point of view both evolution and involution appear to have a linear behavior.

On the one hand, the effects of evolution appear to be linear since there is always a better energy optimization complementation level with the environment.

On the other hand, the effect of involution also appears to be linear, providing an increase of entropy produced by the growing amplitude of the pendular behavior.

But in fact, evolution is driven by a double dialectical logic that pendulates on the one hand, between expansive and contractive actions, and, on the other hand, between actions driven by security and actions driven by freedom.

Social involution is sustained by the building of fallacious myths in order to avoid the disintegration of the restricted context of a given reality.

Fallacious myths provide both a myth to function and a utopia to believe in. But the integration of both is hypothetical and not real.  Therefore, they work as a social integrator but at the same time as an involution driver.

It has to be considered that those who do not share their fallacious myths cannot be part of a culture. Involution ends when reality has been accepted, the losses of the process have been taken, and a new utopia appears.

Therefore, forecasting evolution requires understanding the roots of the behavior of the environment that is being forecasted.

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